Real estate prices soar, except when they don't

Overall 2018 is shaping up to be the hottest real estate market…ever.

In most of the country, housing prices continue to soar above their mid-2000 all-time-highs.

For example, according to S&P Core Logic, as of end-April 2018, Denver-area housing prices were 52% higher than their bubble-high (June 2007).

While extreme price appreciation is making news, real estate is a segmented market.

The top 5% of prices are appreciating at a much slower pace. According to LIV Sotheby’s, prices for homes over $1M have increased just 1-4% in the last four years.

The disparity has to do with supply and demand. Nationally, the greatest shortfall in housing inventory is in the “starter home” category – median price $178K.

Accounting for just over 50% of inventory, the high-end market isn’t nearly as constrained.

Weekly Update through July 20, 2018 The S&P 500 added 4bps, even as the Dow Jones gained 20bps, the Russell 2000 increased 58bps, the Nasdaq slid -7bps.

As for US bonds, they dropped -27bps.                         

Globally, the MSCI World Index gained 23bps and the Barclays Global Aggregate Bond Index lost -2bps.

The Euro Stoxx 50 gained 16bps in local-currency (Euro) and 46bps in USD.  Meanwhile, the Topix added 86bps local-currency (Yen) and 1.54% in USD.